AN EXCESS OF EXCELLENCE by John Allen Paulos appeared in
the WALL STREET JOURNAL on October 27, 2000 (copyright 2000)
The Army announced last week that the beret, which for decades has
been the mark of elite units, will now become standard issue. Gen.
Eric Shinseki, the Army's chief of staff, said that the change,
which will take effect on June 14, the Army's birthday, is intended
to show that American troops are "soldiers of the world's best
army."
It should be noted that "soldiers of the best army" are not at all
the same as the "best soldiers of the Army." The change in fashion
seems to be a pointless devaluation of the beret and those who now
wear it.
On a related note, Al Gore recently declared that "most schools are
excellent but we've got to make sure that all of them are." But if
all or even most schools are excellent, what exactly would it be
that they were excelling? Even if by "excellent school" Mr. Gore
meant "one doing an adequate job," it's not clear that most schools
are excellent, and calling them so devalues those schools that are.
(In a spirit of nonpartisanship, I must add that George Bush's
pledge to leave no child behind is comparably hyperbolic.)
And American students often do poorly on international tests
but seldom score poorly on measures of self-confidence. They
sometimes seem to be saying, "We are the most bestest." Parents
heaping encomiums on their preschool youngsters for coloring more or
less within the lines, and teachers handing out ever-higher grades
in high schools and colleges, are related evidence of this mania to
declare us all extraordinary in every way.
Average Isn't Good Enough
These are only the most recent manifestations of the infamous Lake
Wobegon syndrome, whereby everybody, or almost everybody, is deemed
to be above average. Studies repeatedly show, for example, that the
vast majority of us think we have a better-than-average sense of
humor and possess a better-than-average empathy for others.
(Technically, of course, almost everybody can be above average; in
fact, almost everybody has two arms, which is slightly more than the
average number of arms.)
The Wobegon syndrome extends to the supposedly hard-headed world of
business. If one frequents online business sites, one will discover
that almost all the stocks they are writing about are "buys" or
"strong buys," with occasional "holds." Where are the "sells" and
"strong sells"? Maybe only companies that manufacture solar-powered
flashlights qualify.
Pick any social dimension along which people can differ and their
attitude toward it often demonstrates some trace of Wobegonism. In
most communities, for example, if one asks about crime, one will
hear something like: "It's awful in general, but we don't really
have any problems around here." This might be literally true in a
few places, but not, by definition, in most.
Stars Everywhere
The case can be made that reviews of movies, books and restaurants
are similarly skewed upward, with only real dogs receiving the
dreaded one star, or none. William Grimes, of the New York Times,
got in trouble with local chefs last year when he took over the
restaurant-reviewing position at the paper: He was seen to be
stingy, compared with his generous predecessor, Ruth Reichl, about
handing out two- and three-star ratings. He explained, to anyone who
would listen, that he was merely trying to restore some standards.
Naturally, the restaurateurs around town still preferred a starrier
atmosphere in the Times's food columns.
Of course, I intend no offense to the underachievers of this world,
most of whom seem to possess the same need for compliments as
everyone else. Sharing this natural desire, I don't think that
praise for others should always be stinting or that the social
niceties of harmless exaggeration should be discouraged. What does
make inflationary commendation worrisome is that by diminishing real
achievements it can weaken our ability to discern quality and make
distinctions.
A recent study suggests that most incompetent (in various senses of
the word) people do not know that they are incompetent. Dr. David
Dunning, a psychology professor at Cornell, found that people who do
badly at different tasks are unaware of their incompetence because
the skills needed to evaluate how well they're doing are often the
same as those needed to do the job in the first place.
Thus people who insist on telling one lame joke after another are
not only unable to make us laugh, they're unlikely to recognize that
we're not laughing. And when the subjects in the study were asked to
evaluate the logic of an argument or the grammar of an article,
those who scored the lowest often rated themselves the highest at
the very skill they could not judge.
In short, some minimal skill and judgment are needed to recognize
that we have little skill or judgment and that we may be, horrors,
average or even below average. If most of us see ourselves as
extraordinary, excellent, well above average and forever donning our
stylish berets to buy strong stocks that only move up, the meaning
of superlatives will begin to fade behind clouds of self-esteem, and
critical evaluation will gradually become empty congratulation.
I could be wrong, but I think that would be a below-average
development.
Mr. Paulos, a professor of mathematics at Temple University, writes
the "Who's Counting" column for ABCNews.com. He is the author of
"Innumeracy" and "A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper."
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